Distribution of residual autocorrelations for multiplicative seasonal ARMA models with uncorrelated but nonindependent error terms

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TitreDistribution of residual autocorrelations for multiplicative seasonal ARMA models with uncorrelated but nonindependent error terms
Type de publicationJournal Article
Year of Publication2019
AuteursMainassara YBoubacar, Amir AIlmi
JournalSTATISTICA NEERLANDICA
Volume73
Pagination454-474
Date PublishedNOV
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN0039-0402
Mots-clésBox-Pierce and Ljung-Box portmanteau tests, Goodness-of-fit test, Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation, Residual autocorrelation, Self-normalization, weak SARMA models
Résumé

In this paper, we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We relax the standard independence assumption on the error terms in order to extend the range of applications of the seasonal autoregressive moving-average models. We study the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations under weak assumptions on noise. We establish the asymptotic behavior of the proposed statistics. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to monthly mean total sunspot number are presented.

DOI10.1111/stan.12178