Understanding the role of hyperdiploidy in myeloma prognosis: which trisomies really matter?

The prognosis of multiple myeloma is mainly dependent upon chromosomal changes. The 2 major abnormalities driving poor outcome are del(17p) and t(4;14). However, the outcome of these high-risk patients is not absolutely uniform, with some patients presenting long survival. We hypothesized that these better outcomes might be related to concomitant ``good-risk'' chromosomal changes exploring hyperdiploidy. We analyzed a large series of 965 myeloma patients, including 168 patients with t(4;14) and 126 patients with del(17p), using high-throughput single-nucleotide polymorphism arrays after plasma cell sorting. As expected, trisomic chromosomes were highly associated. Using the LASSO model, we found that only chromosome 3, when trisomic, was associated with a longer progression-free survival and that 3 trisomies modulated overall survival (OS) in myeloma patients: trisomies 3 and 5 significantly improved OS, whereas trisomy 21 worsened OS. In patients with t(4;14), trisomies 3 and/or 5 seemed to overcome the poor prognosis. For the first time, using a specific modeling approach, we show that not all trisomies display the same prognostic impact. This finding could be important for routine assessment of prognosis in myeloma, and some high-risk patients with a traditional evaluation could in fact be standard-risk patients.