HIDDEN REGULAR VARIATION FOR POINT PROCESSES AND THE SINGLE/MULTIPLE LARGE POINT HEURISTIC

Affiliation auteursAffiliation ok
TitreHIDDEN REGULAR VARIATION FOR POINT PROCESSES AND THE SINGLE/MULTIPLE LARGE POINT HEURISTIC
Type de publicationJournal Article
Year of Publication2022
AuteursDombry C, Tillier C, Wintenberger O
JournalANNALS OF APPLIED PROBABILITY
Volume32
Pagination191-234
Date PublishedFEB
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN1050-5164
Mots-cléshidden regular variation, point process, Regular variation, risk theory
Résumé

We consider regular variation for marked point processes with independent heavy-tailed marks and prove a single large point heuristic: the limit measure is concentrated on the cone of point measures with one single point. We then investigate successive hidden regular variation removing the cone of point measures with at most k points, k >= 1, and prove a multiple large point phenomenon: the limit measure is concentrated on the cone of point measures with k + 1 points. We show how these results imply hidden regular variation in Skorokhod space of the associated risk process, in connection with the single/multiple large point heuristic from (Ann. Probab. 47 (2019) 3551-3605). Finally, we provide an application to risk theory in a reinsurance model where the k largest claims are covered and we study the asymptotic behavior of the residual risk.

DOI10.1214/21-AAP1675