In the insurance business risky investments are dangerous: the case of negative risk sums

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TitreIn the insurance business risky investments are dangerous: the case of negative risk sums
Type de publicationJournal Article
Year of Publication2016
AuteursKabanov Y, Pergamenshchikov S
JournalFINANCE AND STOCHASTICS
Volume20
Pagination355-379
Date PublishedAPR
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN0949-2984
Mots-clésAutoregression with random coefficients, Exponential functional of a Brownian motion, financial markets, Negative risk sums models, Smoothness of the exit probability
Résumé

We investigate models with negative risk sums when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of exponentially distributed benefits. As in the case of non-life insurance with exponential claims, the ruin probabilities are either decreasing with a rate given by a power function (the case of small volatility) or equal to one identically (the case of large volatility). The result allows us to quantify the share of reserve to invest into such a risky asset to avoid a catastrophic outcome, namely the ruin with probability one. We address also the question of smoothness of the ruin probabilities as a function of the initial reserve for generally distributed jumps.

DOI10.1007/s00780-016-0292-4