Estimation and empirical performance of non-scalar dynamic conditional correlation models

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TitreEstimation and empirical performance of non-scalar dynamic conditional correlation models
Type de publicationJournal Article
Year of Publication2016
AuteursBauwens L, Grigoryeva L, Ortega J-P
JournalCOMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS
Volume100
Pagination17-36
Date PublishedAUG
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN0167-9473
Mots-clésBregman divergences, Bregman-proximal trust-region method, Constrained optimization, Dynamic conditional correlations (DCC), Multivariate volatility modeling, Non-scalar DCC models
Résumé

A method capable of estimating richly parametrized versions of the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model that go beyond the standard scalar case is presented. The algorithm is based on the maximization of a Gaussian quasi-likelihood using a Bregman-proximal trust-region method that handles the various non-linear stationarity and positivity constraints that arise in this context. The general matrix Hadamard DCC model with full rank, rank equal to two and, additionally, two different rank one matrix specifications are considered. In the last mentioned case, the elements of the vectors that determine the rank one parameter matrices are either arbitrary or parsimoniously defined using the Almon lag function. Actual stock returns data in dimensions up to thirty are used in order to carry out performance comparisons according to several in- and out-of-sample criteria. Empirical results show that the use of richly parametrized models adds value with respect to the conventional scalar case. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

DOI10.1016/j.csda.2015.02.013