Geomagnetic Storms Can Trigger Stroke Evidence From 6 Large Population-Based Studies in Europe and Australasia

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TitreGeomagnetic Storms Can Trigger Stroke Evidence From 6 Large Population-Based Studies in Europe and Australasia
Type de publicationJournal Article
Year of Publication2014
AuteursFeigin VL, Parmar PG, Barker-Collo S, Bennett DA, Anderson CS, Thrift AG, Stegmayr B, Rothwell PM, Giroud M, Bejot Y, Carvil P, Krishnamurthi R, Kasabov N, Data IStroke Inc
JournalSTROKE
Volume45
Pagination1639+
Date PublishedJUN
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN0039-2499
Mots-clésENVIRONMENT, Stroke
Résumé

Background and Purpose-Although the research linking cardiovascular disorders to geomagnetic activity is accumulating, robust evidence for the impact of geomagnetic activity on stroke occurrence is limited and controversial. Methods-We used a time-stratified case-crossover study design to analyze individual participant and daily geomagnetic activity (as measured by Ap Index) data from several large population-based stroke incidence studies (with information on 11 453 patients with stroke collected during 16 031 764 person-years of observation) in New Zealand, Australia, United Kingdom, France, and Sweden conducted between 1981 and 2004. Hazard ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Results-Overall, geomagnetic storms (Ap Index 60+) were associated with 19% increase in the risk of stroke occurrence (95% CI, 11%-27%). The triggering effect of geomagnetic storms was most evident across the combined group of all strokes in those aged <65 years, increasing stroke risk by >50%: moderate geomagnetic storms (60-99 Ap Index) were associated with a 27% (95% CI, 8%-48%) increased risk of stroke occurrence, strong geomagnetic storms (100-149 Ap Index) with a 52% (95% CI, 19%-92%) increased risk, and severe/extreme geomagnetic storms (Ap Index 150+) with a 52% (95% CI, 19%-94%) increased risk (test for trend, P<2x10(-16)). Conclusions-Geomagnetic storms are associated with increased risk of stroke and should be considered along with other established risk factors. Our findings provide a framework to advance stroke prevention through future investigation of the contribution of geomagnetic factors to the risk of stroke occurrence and pathogenesis.

DOI10.1161/STROKEAHA.113.004577